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ISDs Expected to Lose More Students to Charters
TEA Issues Funding “Transparency Report”
Texas ISDs are projected to lose students — and charters are expected to gain students — over the course of the current biennium, according to recently r
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eleased TEA projections.

The projections are among the several school finance related data contained in the Report on Public Education State Funding Transparency that the Legislature tasked the TEA to produce by Jan. 1, 2022.

A TEN analysis of one of the datapoints — average daily attendance (ADA) trends — reflects that:
  • The actual School Year 2020-21 ADA of 5,137,584 students (for ISDs and charters combined) is projected to increase, by the second year of the current biennium (School Year 2022-23) by an additional ADA of 60,646 students, a 1.18 percent increase.

  • The actual School Year 2020-21 ISD ADA of 4,792,165 students is projected to decrease by 2,531 students (0.5 percent) by the 2022-23 school year, when 4,789,634 ISD students are projected to be enrolled.

  • The actual School Year 2020-21 charter ADA of 345,419 students is projected to increase by 63,177 students (18 percent) by the 2022-23 school year, when 408,596 charter students are projected to be enrolled.

The report is mandated by Rider 65 of the education portion of the state budget for the current two-year biennium, and presents actual data for the four prior bienniums (roughly 2011-12 through 2020-21), and projections for both years of the current biennium.

Some of the other reported data addresses state aid for public education, recapture revenue, total funding to school districts, etc., along with estimates of the impact, as appropriate, that inflation is expected to have on the projected data.